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Capital Realisation Index.

How much capital actually comes back — real cash realised by owners and sponsors, in one number. The third leg — after Formation and Efficiency.

Latest reading · Jun 2026
112.9
MoM -3.7%YoY +15.3%
Breadth · channels rising
40%
CodeGWR-CRI-IN
GeographyIndia
CadenceMonthly
Base100 = mid-2024
VintageJune 2026
Band110–116
Coverage100%
The lifecycle · Form → Work → Return

Capital floods in (159) and comes back briskly (113) — but works only at baseline (102). High churn, flat productivity. The weak link isn't liquidity; it's output per rupee.

The realisation index

100 = 24-month average realisation (z-scored; M&A & secondaries are wide-range, low-base channels).

8191101111121BASE 100112.9Jul 2024Oct 2024Jan 2025Apr 2025Jul 2025Oct 2025Jan 2026Jun 2026
The five channels

In 2025 the mix rotated hard — M&A and secondaries surged while IPO exits and buybacks fell. Latest reads anchor to official 2025 releases.

PE/VC Exit Value
30% wt
$34 bn
total PE/VC exits in 2025, up 3% — broadly stable

Total value sponsors realised exiting portfolio companies — the headline private-market liquidity number.

Source ↗ Bain India Private Equity Report 2026
Strategic / M&A Exits
20% wt
$113 bn
M&A deal value in 2025, up 42% — inbound up 300%

Realisation via trade sale — strategic buyers acquiring whole businesses. The exit route that surged in 2025.

Source ↗ EY / Grant Thornton, Dec 2025
Public-Market Realisation
20% wt
−30%
public-market exit value fell; buybacks collapsed 84% to ₹8,034 cr

Exits via IPO, block deals, and buybacks. The traditional channel — and 2025's laggard.

Source ↗ Bain / Business Standard, 2025
Cash Payout
20% wt
₹5.08 lakh cr
total payout FY25 — dividends a record ₹5tn, up 11%

Dividends plus buybacks returned to public shareholders — the steady-state realisation of listed capital.

Source ↗ Business Standard, Jun 2025
Secondary Liquidity
10% wt
+75%
secondary sales surged in H1 FY26 — DPI now LPs' top metric

LP-stake sales and fund secondaries — the fastest-growing escape hatch as IPOs stay shut. Winsorised.

Source ↗ IVCA / 360 ONE–VCCEdge, Nov 2025
Composite

Smoothed, rebased, winsorised, weighted.

112.9.
How it's built
01
Five realisation channels

PE/VC exits, strategic/M&A sales, public-market exits (IPO, block, buyback), cash payout, and fund secondaries — every route by which capital actually returns to its owners.

02
Cash, not marks

Only realised liquidity counts. Mark-ups, unrealised TVPI, and paper IRR are excluded by design — this is a DPI-world index, built for the metric LPs now rank first.

03
Smooth, rebase, winsorise

Trailing 3-month average, rebase each channel to 100 at mid-2024, then clamp every sub-index to a [50, 180] band so a low-base rocket (secondaries) or one mega-exit can't hijack the composite.

04
Channel rotation is the story

The headline can stay firm while the mix churns. In 2025 M&A and secondaries surged as IPO exits and buybacks fell — the index holds, the composition shifts. Both are reported.

05
Completes the trilogy

Form (CFI) → Work (CEI) → Return (CRI). The three together place where India sits in the capital cycle — and the gaps between them are the real signal.

Weights
PE/VC Exit Value
30%
Strategic / M&A Exits
20%
Public-Market Realisation
20%
Cash Payout
20%
Secondary Liquidity
10%
What we guard against
  • · Marks ≠ cash — unrealised gains and paper IRR are excluded; only distributed liquidity is counted.
  • · Mega-exit distortion — winsorisation caps any single channel so one jumbo trade sale can't define a month.
  • · Low-base illusion — fast-growing secondaries are clamped so a small absolute pool can't dominate the read.
  • · Channel substitution — a fall in IPO exits offset by M&A is flagged as rotation, not double-counted as growth.

Data vintage June 2026. Latest reads anchor to official 2025 releases — Bain (PE/VC exits), EY/Grant Thornton (M&A), Business Standard/Capitaline (payout, buybacks), and IVCA / 360 ONE–VCCEdge (secondaries). The within-period monthly distribution is Gravitywell's reconstruction; channel reads reconcile to the cited primary sources. Private exit and secondary figures revise for several quarters.

The cash that comes back.

The Capital Realisation Index and the full Form → Work → Return trilogy update every month.

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